Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slonim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
10%
LowconfidenceSlonim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Volna are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and slonim hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Division, favouring Slonim with 9.6% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Slonim
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
9.6%
Slonim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SlonimWLLWD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VolnaDDWWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SlonimVolna
61.1Attack63.0
57.4Defence46.3
55.6Form55.6
58.6Power56.6
2.15xG1.48