Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slonim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Slonim are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Gomel II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Slonim hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the 1. Division, while Slonim holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Slonim
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Slonim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00