Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 21 July 202617:00Last updated 15:02
Sloboda Uzice

Sloboda Uzice

Home
W
21
Full time
Omladinac Zablaće

Omladinac Zablaće

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Omladinac Zablaće33%
Sloboda Uzice33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Sloboda Uzice
33%
Draw
33%
Omladinac Zablaće
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sloboda Uzice
94
Omladinac Zablaće
9
Defence
Sloboda Uzice
66
Omladinac Zablaće
91
Momentum
Sloboda Uzice
100
Omladinac Zablaće
33
Danger (xG)
Sloboda Uzice
2.70
Omladinac Zablaće
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.11 xG for Sloboda Uzice and 0.68 xG for Omladinac Zablaće. Omladinac Zablaće's projected xG of 0.68 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Sloboda Uzice's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 1.78 — low attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Sloboda Uzice's Defensive Stability (66) and Omladinac Zablaće's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Sloboda Uzice)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Omladinac Zablaće)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sloboda Uzice)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Omladinac Zablaće)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice
W
Omladinac ZablaćeOmladinac Zablaće
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Sloboda Uzice33%
Draw33%
Omladinac Zablaće33%

Omladinac Zablaće leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Sloboda Uzice vs Omladinac Zablaće: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Sloboda Uzice host Omladinac Zablaće in Friendlies Clubs. Sloboda Uzice have recorded WWWWWL in recent matches while Omladinac Zablaće arrive with a run of WDWWWL. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 1.7 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.11 for Sloboda Uzice and 0.68 for Omladinac Zablaće. The gap of 0.43 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Sloboda Uzice

Sloboda Uzice

W
@ FK Mladi Radnik 1940 Radinac
16 May 2026
31
Omladinac Zablaće

Omladinac Zablaće

D
@ Takovo
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sloboda Uzice vs Omladinac Zablaće?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sloboda Uzice vs Omladinac Zablaće?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Sloboda Uzice vs Omladinac Zablaće?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sloboda Uzice vs Omladinac Zablaće?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more