GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

OFK Beograd · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sloboda Uzice are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while OFK Beograd are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and OFK Beograd hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 65.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Prva Liga, while OFK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

OFK Beograd

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

OFK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sloboda UziceDLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
OFK BeogradDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sloboda UziceOFK Beograd
30.6Attack56.8
64.8Defence71.2
41.7Form65.8
47.5Power65.0
0.54xG1.16
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