GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 4/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Waterford · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sligo Rovers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Waterford are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Premier Division, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Waterford

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sligo RoversWDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WaterfordDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sligo RoversWaterford
28.4Attack45.7
44.4Defence40.7
27.2Form34.6
35.9Power42.0
1.06xG1.41
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