Sligo Roversvs
St Patrick's Athl.
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/19/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sligo Rovers 0-1 St Patrick's Athl., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sligo Rovers 0-1 St Patrick's Athl.
Original prediction
St Patrick's Athl.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.35 | 12.6% | 8.3% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 20.2% | 18.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 67.3% | 72.9% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Sligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athl.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60