Premier DivisionPremier Division
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers

Home
L
22
Full time
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

Away
D
Showgrounds
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Shelbourne(47%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Sligo Rovers
27%
Draw
26%
Shelbourne
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sligo Rovers
34
Shelbourne
73
Defence
Sligo Rovers
27
Shelbourne
27
Momentum
Sligo Rovers
0
Shelbourne
33
Danger (xG)
Sligo Rovers
0.90
Shelbourne
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sligo Rovers)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Shelbourne)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sligo Rovers)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Shelbourne)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
LLLDL
ShelbourneShelbourne
DWDDW

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Sligo Rovers27%
Draw26%
Shelbourne47%

Shelbourne leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sligo Rovers head into this in Premier Division fixture at Showgrounds in mixed form (L), while Shelbourne arrive in mixed form (D). Sligo Rovers have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Shelbourne over 1 games.

The model rates Sligo Rovers's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Shelbourne defence, and Shelbourne's attack at 73/100 against a 27/100 Sligo Rovers backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Sligo Rovers have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 4 home games. They average 1.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. Shelbourne have won 1 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Shelbourne to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Sligo Rovers 2672%, Draw 2601%, Shelbourne 4727%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Sligo Rovers 0Draws 10 Shelbourne
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
Sligo Rovers
D22
Shelbourne

Recent form

Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers

L
vs Coleraine FC
14 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Galway United
11 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Shamrock Rovers
3 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Shelbourne
27 Jun 2026
22
L
vs Galway United
16 May 2026
14
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

D
@ Kerry
17 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Dundalk
3 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Sligo Rovers
27 Jun 2026
22
D
@ Drogheda United
19 Jun 2026
22
W
@ St Patrick's Athl.
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts Shelbourne to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more