Sligo Roversvs
Galway United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galway United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sligo Rovers 1-3 Galway United
Original prediction
Galway United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.9% | 24.7% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.9% | 25.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 42.3% | 49.4% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Galway United
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Galway United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40