Sligo Roversvs
Dundalk
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sligo Rovers 1-1 Dundalk
Original prediction
Dundalk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.06 | 22.7% | 19.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.7% | 22.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 53.6% | 57.6% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80