Sligo Roversvs
Derry City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derry City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sligo Rovers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Derry City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Derry City
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60