Sliema Wanderersvs
Gzira United
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sliema Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Gzira United
Original prediction
Sliema Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.1% | 56.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.4% | 24.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.42 | 20.6% | 19.2% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Sliema Wanderers
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Sliema Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60