Sliema Wanderersvs
Birkirkara
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birkirkara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Birkirkara
Original prediction
Birkirkara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.9% | 29.8% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.8% | 28.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.3% | 41.9% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Birkirkara
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Birkirkara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00