Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sleipner are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Smedby are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Smedby hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00