Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farsta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sleipner 0-0 Farsta
Original prediction
Farsta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.3% | 36.4% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 25.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.8% | 37.9% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Farsta
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Farsta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SleipnerLWWWW
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FarstaLWWWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SleipnerFarsta
72.7Attack71.2
47.0Defence62.1
65.2Form63.6
61.6Power64.7
1.81xG2.13