Slavonija Požegavs
Trnje
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trnje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavonija Požega 3-1 Trnje
Original prediction
Trnje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.3% | 34.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 28.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.1% | 37.2% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Trnje
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Trnje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Slavonija PožegaWDWDW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrnjeDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Slavonija PožegaTrnje
59.3Attack51.9
44.4Defence59.3
44.4Form51.9
51.7Power55.1
1.55xG1.58