Slavonija Požegavs
Lucko
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavonija Požega · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavonija Požega 2-0 Lucko
Original prediction
Slavonija Požega
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.9% | 42.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 28.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.8% | 29.8% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Slavonija Požega
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Slavonija Požega has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40