Slavonija Požegavs
Jarun
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavonija Požega 0-1 Jarun
Original prediction
Jarun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.3% | 34.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.7% | 37.0% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Slavonija PožegaDWLLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JarunDDDLD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Slavonija PožegaJarun
16.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power50.0
1.33xG1.42