Slavonija Požegavs
Dugo Selo
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dugo Selo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavonija Požega 1-0 Dugo Selo
Original prediction
Dugo Selo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.3% | 25.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.4% | 22.9% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.2% | 51.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Dugo Selo
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Dugo Selo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60