CupCup
Friday, 31 July 202617:00Updated today
Slavoj Vyšehrad

Slavoj Vyšehrad

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vs
17:00
Sokol Hostouň

Sokol Hostouň

Away
D
Mikulase z Husi
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Slavoj Vyšehrad(31%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Slavoj Vyšehrad
31%
Draw
23%
Sokol Hostouň
45%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.40 xG for Slavoj Vyšehrad and 1.84 xG for Sokol Hostouň — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.43), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Slavoj Vyšehrad finding the net in 8 of 10 matches and Sokol Hostouň in 7 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.24 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Sokol Hostouň)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sokol Hostouň)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sokol HostouňSokol Hostouň
D

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Slavoj Vyšehrad31%
Draw23%
Sokol Hostouň45%

Sokol Hostouň leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Sokol Hostouň Favoured — Model Projects 1-2

Slavoj Vyšehrad host Sokol Hostouň in Cup. Slavoj Vyšehrad have recorded WWWLLW in recent matches while Sokol Hostouň arrive with a run of DLLWWW.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.84 expected goals for Sokol Hostouň against 1.40 for Slavoj Vyšehrad — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Slavoj Vyšehrad have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Sokol Hostouň carry the stronger underlying metrics, Slavoj Vyšehrad's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Sokol Hostouň are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.84 projected against 1.40 for Slavoj Vyšehrad. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.43 is the clearest signal in the model that Sokol Hostouň are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Slavoj Vyšehrad have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Slavoj Vyšehrad carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Slavoj Vyšehrad are in decent form with 4 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Sokol Hostouň

Sokol Hostouň

D
vs Viktoria Plzeň II
15 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Slavoj Vyšehrad vs Sokol Hostouň?

GoalVio's model predicts Slavoj Vyšehrad to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Slavoj Vyšehrad vs Sokol Hostouň?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Slavoj Vyšehrad vs Sokol Hostouň?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Slavoj Vyšehrad vs Sokol Hostouň?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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