Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavičín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavičín 2-0 Holešov
Original prediction
Slavičín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.6% | 44.7% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.7% | 21.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.8% | 33.7% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Slavičín
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Slavičín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SlavičínWWLDW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
HolešovWLDDL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SlavičínHolešov
66.7Attack51.9
37.0Defence55.6
48.1Form40.7
52.4Power50.4
1.97xG1.79