Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leotar · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Slavija 0-2 Leotar, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavija 1-1 Leotar
Original prediction
Leotar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.7% | 15.4% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 20.6% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.4% | 64.1% | 17.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.7 pts
Projected Score
Slavija 0–2 Leotar
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Leotar
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Leotar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SlavijaWDLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LeotarWWWWD
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SlavijaLeotar
33.3Attack86.1
52.8Defence86.1
38.9Form88.9
44.4Power85.4
0.49xG2.28