Slavia Sofiavs
Septemvri Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Slavia Sofia 1-0 Septemvri Sofia, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavia Sofia 1-1 Septemvri Sofia
Original prediction
Slavia Sofia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.7% | 48.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.8% | 29.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.5% | 22.1% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Sofia
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Slavia Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60