Slavia Sofiavs
Levski Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Slavia Sofia 0-1 Levski Sofia, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavia Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia
Original prediction
Levski Sofia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.16 | 11.3% | 20.4% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.4% | 26.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 67.3% | 53.3% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Projected Score
Slavia Sofia 0–1 Levski Sofia
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Levski Sofia
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00