Slavia Sofiavs
Botev Vratsa
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavia Sofia 2-1 Botev Vratsa
Original prediction
Slavia Sofia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.8% | 38.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.9% | 27.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.3% | 34.4% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Sofia
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Slavia Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20