Slavia Prahavs
Plzen
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavia Praha 2-1 Plzen
Original prediction
Slavia Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.4% | 71.0% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 22.1% | 16.4% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.58 | 16.5% | 12.6% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Praha
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
71.0%
Slavia Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40