Slavia Prahavs
Lens
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavia Praha 2-3 Lens
Original prediction
Slavia Praha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.9% | 50.2% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 27.3% | 24.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 36.7% | 25.1% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Praha
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Slavia Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40