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Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Slavia Praha II

Slavia Praha II

Home
L
41
Full time
Puskás II

Puskás II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Slavia Praha II39%
Draw35%
Puskás II26%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Slavia Praha II
39%
Draw
35%
Puskás II
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Slavia Praha II
34
Puskás II
94
Defence
Slavia Praha II
27
Puskás II
66
Momentum
Slavia Praha II
0
Puskás II
100
Danger (xG)
Slavia Praha II
0.90
Puskás II
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.54 xG for Slavia Praha II and 1.28 xG for Puskás II — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Slavia Praha II holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.82 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Slavia Praha II)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Puskás II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Slavia Praha II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Puskás II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II
L
Puskás IIPuskás II
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Slavia Praha II39%
Draw35%
Puskás II26%

Slavia Praha II leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Slavia Praha II Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Slavia Praha II host Puskás II in Friendlies Clubs. Slavia Praha II have recorded LWLWWD in recent matches while Puskás II arrive with a run of WLWLLL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.54 for Slavia Praha II and 1.28 for Puskás II. The gap of 1.26 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Slavia Praha II have been conceding 2.28 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Slavia Praha II

Slavia Praha II

L
@ Ústí nad Labem
16 May 2026
12
Puskás II

Puskás II

W
vs Bicskei
17 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Slavia Praha II vs Puskás II?

GoalVio's model predicts Slavia Praha II to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Slavia Praha II vs Puskás II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Slavia Praha II vs Puskás II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Slavia Praha II vs Puskás II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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