FNLFNL
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Slavia Praha II

Slavia Praha II

Home
L
22
Full time
Příbram

Příbram

Away
DL
Stadium Viktoria Zizkov
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Slavia Praha II(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Slavia Praha II
40%
Draw
27%
Příbram
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Slavia Praha II
34
Příbram
9
Defence
Slavia Praha II
27
Příbram
66
Momentum
Slavia Praha II
0
Příbram
17
Danger (xG)
Slavia Praha II
0.90
Příbram
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.86 xG for Slavia Praha II and 0.93 xG for Příbram. Příbram's projected xG of 0.93 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Slavia Praha II's Defensive Stability Score (27) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.78 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Slavia Praha II's Defensive Stability (27) and Příbram's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Slavia Praha II)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Příbram)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Slavia Praha II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Příbram)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II
L
PříbramPříbram
DL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Slavia Praha II40%
Draw27%
Příbram33%

Slavia Praha II leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Slavia Praha II Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Slavia Praha II host Příbram in FNL. Slavia Praha II have recorded LWLWWD in recent matches while Příbram arrive with a run of LDLLLD.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.86 expected goals for Slavia Praha II against 0.93 for Příbram — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Slavia Praha II's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 58% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 📈 Recent Form Slavia Praha II arrive in better recent form — 3 wins from 10 matches (LWLWWD) against Příbram's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Slavia Praha II are generating a commanding xG advantage — 1.86 projected against 0.93 for Příbram. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.93 is the clearest signal in the model that Slavia Praha II are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Slavia Praha II are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Slavia Praha II have been conceding 1.95 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Slavia Praha II

Slavia Praha II

L
@ Ústí nad Labem
16 May 2026
12
Příbram

Příbram

D
vs Prostějov
16 May 2026
00
L
@ Chrudim
12 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Slavia Praha II vs Příbram?

GoalVio's model predicts Slavia Praha II to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Slavia Praha II vs Příbram?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Slavia Praha II vs Příbram?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Slavia Praha II vs Příbram?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more