Slavia Mozyrvs
Naftan
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Mozyr · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavia Mozyr 0-1 Naftan
Original prediction
Slavia Mozyr
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 69.9% | 68.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.95 | 18.6% | 19.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 8.02 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Mozyr
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
68.1%
Slavia Mozyr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80