GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 9/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Slavia Mozyr 0-0 FC Vitebsk, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Slavia Mozyr 3-0 FC Vitebsk

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3339.4%33.4%-5.9 pts
Draw2.9431.2%31.9%0.8 pts
Away3.1029.5%34.6%5.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.8 pts

Projected Score

Slavia Mozyr 0–0 FC Vitebsk

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.9%

Model confidence

34.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Slavia MozyrLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC VitebskWWLWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Slavia MozyrFC Vitebsk
39.2Attack35.3
54.9Defence68.6
41.2Form51.0
47.0Power53.6
0.77xG0.89
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