GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/2/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Slavia Mozyr are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dinamo Minsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Minsk hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Premier League, while Dinamo Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Minsk

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Dinamo Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Slavia MozyrWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo MinskWWWWD

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Slavia MozyrDinamo Minsk
39.2Attack61.9
54.9Defence71.4
41.2Form78.6
47.0Power72.8
0.66xG1.65
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