Slavia IIIvs
Povltava FA
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia III · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slavia III 4-0 Povltava FA
Original prediction
Slavia III
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.7% | 48.4% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.0% | 24.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.24 | 21.3% | 26.7% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Slavia III
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Slavia III has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60