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Saturday, 1 August 202609:15Updated today
Slavia Hradec Králové

Slavia Hradec Králové

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Trutnov

Trutnov

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SA Slavia HK
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Slavia Hradec Králové(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Slavia Hradec Králové
40%
Draw
24%
Trutnov
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.27 xG for Slavia Hradec Králové and 1.41 xG for Trutnov. Slavia Hradec Králové's projected xG of 1.27 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.68 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Slavia Hradec Králové40%
Draw24%
Trutnov35%

Slavia Hradec Králové leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Slavia Hradec Králové Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Slavia Hradec Králové host Trutnov in Cup. Slavia Hradec Králové have recorded LLLLWD in recent matches while Trutnov arrive with a run of WDLLWL. These sides have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Trutnov have averaged 1.8 goals per game in recent fixtures compared to Slavia Hradec Králové's 1.1 — a gap in attacking output that the model captures in its xG projection. Consistent goal-scoring is one of the clearest indicators of a team's ability to convert chances.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Slavia Hradec Králové have averaged 1.11 goals per game recently while Trutnov have managed 1.83. Trutnov have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Trutnov win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Slavia Hradec Králové have won 1 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Trutnov carry the stronger underlying metrics, Slavia Hradec Králové's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Trutnov hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Trutnov.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Trutnov, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Slavia Hradec Králové score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Trutnov have been conceding 2.38 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 5 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.14 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Slavia Hradec Králové vs Trutnov?

GoalVio's model predicts Slavia Hradec Králové to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Slavia Hradec Králové vs Trutnov?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Slavia Hradec Králové vs Trutnov?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Slavia Hradec Králové vs Trutnov?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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