GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 9/4/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Slatina · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Slatina 3-2 Chindia Targoviste

Original prediction

Slatina

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0744.0%43.2%-0.8 pts
Draw3.3427.3%27.8%0.5 pts
Away3.1728.7%29.1%0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Slatina

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Slatina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SlatinaDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Chindia TargovisteLWLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SlatinaChindia Targoviste
66.7Attack66.7
86.7Defence66.7
86.7Form60.0
80.3Power64.0
1.51xG1.04
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