Slask Wroclawvs
Wieczysta Kraków
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/25/2026, 11:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wieczysta Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slask Wroclaw 2-0 Wieczysta Kraków
Original prediction
Wieczysta Kraków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.7% | 36.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.2% | 21.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 43.1% | 41.7% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Wieczysta Kraków
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Wieczysta Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80