Slask Wroclawvs
Korona Kielce
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/12/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slask Wroclaw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Korona Kielce
Original prediction
Slask Wroclaw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.1% | 40.2% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.9% | 27.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 37.0% | 32.0% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Slask Wroclaw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Slask Wroclaw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60