SL Benfica Wvs
Sporting CP W
COMPLETEDPortugal · 1a Divisão - Women · 10/24/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SL Benfica W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SL Benfica W 4-1 Sporting CP W
Original prediction
SL Benfica W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.1% | 44.2% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.7% | 27.2% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 6.43 | 14.1% | 28.7% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
SL Benfica W
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
SL Benfica W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60