GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Skövde AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Skövde AIK 3-2 Utsikten

Original prediction

Skövde AIK

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4363.2%53.9%-9.3 pts
Draw4.4920.1%24.1%4.0 pts
Away5.4316.7%22.0%5.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Skövde AIK

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Skövde AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Skövde AIKWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
UtsiktenWLDLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Skövde AIKUtsikten
73.3Attack0.0
60.0Defence66.7
66.7Form16.7
67.2Power31.3
2.00xG0.96
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