GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Skövde AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Skövde AIK 1-3 Trollhättan

Original prediction

Skövde AIK

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6334.3%39.1%4.8 pts
Draw3.5025.7%25.4%-0.3 pts
Away2.2540.0%35.5%-4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Skövde AIK

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Skövde AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Skövde AIKWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TrollhättanWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Skövde AIKTrollhättan
75.0Attack73.3
75.0Defence57.8
83.3Form54.4
78.6Power59.9
1.68xG1.47
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