Skövde AIKvs
Trelleborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Skövde AIK 2-1 Trelleborg
Original prediction
Trelleborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.77 | 19.1% | 33.4% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.3% | 27.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.7% | 39.6% | -18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Trelleborg
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20