GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Skövde AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Skövde AIK 2-1 Olympic

Original prediction

Skövde AIK

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6833.5%46.4%13.0 pts
Draw3.6224.8%25.0%0.2 pts
Away2.1541.7%28.6%-13.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Skövde AIK

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Skövde AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Skövde AIKLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OlympicDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Skövde AIKOlympic
73.3Attack66.7
60.0Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
67.2Power23.7
2.24xG1.05
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