GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/9/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Skövde AIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Skövde AIK are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jonkopings Sodra are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Skövde AIK hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Superettan, while Skövde AIK holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Skövde AIK

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Skövde AIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Skövde AIKLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Jonkopings SodraDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Skövde AIKJonkopings Sodra
49.0Attack47.8
43.8Defence36.7
38.5Form34.4
44.9Power41.8
2.02xG1.46
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