SKU Amstettenvs
Rapid Wien II
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SKU Amstetten · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SKU Amstetten 3-2 Rapid Wien II
Original prediction
SKU Amstetten
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 61.5% | 67.2% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 20.2% | 18.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.3% | 14.4% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
SKU Amstetten
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
SKU Amstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60