SKU Amstettenvs
FC BW Linz
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC BW Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SKU Amstetten 1-1 FC BW Linz
Original prediction
FC BW Linz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.8% | 25.8% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.5% | 22.8% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.7% | 51.4% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
FC BW Linz
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
FC BW Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40