GGOALVIO

Austria · 2. Liga · 9/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SKU Amstetten · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

SKU Amstetten 4-2 Austria Vienna (Am)

Original prediction

SKU Amstetten

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8051.4%40.1%-11.3 pts
Draw3.7724.6%27.5%2.9 pts
Away3.8524.1%32.4%8.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

SKU Amstetten

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

SKU Amstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SKU AmstettenLDDWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Austria Vienna (Am)WLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SKU AmstettenAustria Vienna (Am)
40.0Attack46.7
60.0Defence60.0
40.0Form60.0
49.7Power56.8
1.25xG1.22
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