GGOALVIO

Poland · II Liga - East · 8/4/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Polonia Bytom · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SKRA Częstochowa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Polonia Bytom are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Bytom hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the II Liga - East, while Polonia Bytom holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Polonia Bytom

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Polonia Bytom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SKRA CzęstochowaWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Polonia BytomLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SKRA CzęstochowaPolonia Bytom
39.2Attack53.3
57.8Defence53.3
39.2Form50.5
46.9Power54.0
1.16xG1.27
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