Skopjevs
Vardar Skopje
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vardar Skopje · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Skopje 0-1 Vardar Skopje, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Skopje 1-2 Vardar Skopje
Original prediction
Vardar Skopje
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.44 | 12.1% | 17.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.0% | 24.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 66.9% | 58.1% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Projected Score
Skopje 0–1 Vardar Skopje
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Vardar Skopje
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Vardar Skopje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SkopjeLLWLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Vardar SkopjeWDWWD
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SkopjeVardar Skopje
12.5Attack58.3
50.0Defence66.7
12.5Form58.3
28.3Power61.3
0.62xG1.67