Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Struga · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Skopje are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Struga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Struga hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the First League, while Struga holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Struga
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80