SKN ST. Poltenvs
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 9/19/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SKN ST. Polten · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SKN ST. Polten 2-1 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Original prediction
SKN ST. Polten
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.8% | 40.6% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.7% | 27.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.5% | 32.4% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
SKN ST. Polten
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
SKN ST. Polten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60