SKN ST. Poltenvs
Rapid Wien II
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SKN ST. Polten · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SKN ST. Polten 0-0 Rapid Wien II
Original prediction
SKN ST. Polten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.0% | 58.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.7% | 23.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.3% | 18.8% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
SKN ST. Polten
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
SKN ST. Polten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00